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Vice-President of the European Commission and member of the Commission responsible for Economic and Monetary Affairs and the Euro
Financial stability and EMU 2.0
Conference on Financial Integration and Stability:
25 April 2013
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Let me welcome you to the 2013 edition of the European Commission and European Central Bank's Joint Conference devoted to Financial Integration and Stability. I am delighted about the large participation in this forum today. And I am particularly happy that we are able to welcome a number of outstanding experts that agreed to present us their views on a most relevant topic for policy making in Europe.
I would like to open the debate with some remarks on the relationship between financial market integration, financial stability and regulation. And I want to explicitly link these issues to the institutional reforms in EMU, either to those recently undertaken or to those envisaged by the Commission in its Blueprint for a deep and genuine EMU.
In the first decade of EMU, we saw a rapid integration of financial markets in the EU, which mediated financial flows between Member States. The financial flows were driven by several factors: some member states were catching up; there was globally cheap access to credit; and by the introduction of the euro lowered risk premia. Of course, these flows were part of the process of financial integration, but it turned out that they had unintentional consequences and they were not managed properly, if at all. Without the appropriate checks and balances, neither by market forces nor by policymakers, they eventually led to the build-up of large macroeconomic imbalances in Europe. But in 2007-8, global risk perceptions changed dramatically in the wake of the financial crisis.
The shock from the financial markets left Europe saddled with high levels of debt, both private and public. As a consequence, Europe is still undergoing a profound and necessary economic rebalancing. This deleveraging process, while underway, will still take time.
In EMU, the interdependence between financial integration and financial stability has been a policy concern for long. Let me give you examples:
Policies have now been geared to actively address the linkages between financial integration and financial stability. We know that in the aftermath of a credit boom, the ensuing adjustment process is long and protracted, as the economy has to deleverage and credit conditions are tight. This weighs on consumption and investment. And in some countries this process is accompanied by unbearably high unemployment rates.
Quite often in such large balance sheet adjustment, which was also the experience of the Nordics in the 1990s, the boost for growth comes from the external side. Moreover, external adjustment, particularly of cost competitiveness, is also necessary in those cases where countries ran current account deficits for a long time and external debt is high.
Therefore, an essential contribution to financial stability is structural reforms that allow the necessary reallocation of economic resources in those economies towards trade-oriented activities. And several vulnerable countries have indeed been expanding exports.
Second, a necessary condition to restore financial stability and to address the negative feedback loop between the banks and their sovereign is restoring the health of the sovereign. Fiscal consolidation remains a necessary ingredient to our strategy. Here also, we have seen significant progress over the last years. For the euro area, public deficits have halved since 2010 and fall, on average, below 3% of GDP this year.
The EU's economic policy aims at promoting sustainable economic growth and job creation and containing the increase in debt. To achieve these twin goals we encourage the balancing of public finances through a consistent fiscal policy by reducing structural deficits over the medium term. We have been clear that the pace of fiscal adjustment should take into account each country’s specific economic situation.
In line with this policy, the pace of fiscal consolidation is now slowing down in Europe. This year, the structural fiscal effort will be ¾ of a percentage point of GDP in the euro area – half of last year’s figure of 1.5 percentage points. The decisions leading to this reduction were made in 2012, in line with the Commission’s recommendations of last spring. By comparison, the United States is reducing its deficit by 1.75 percentage points this year, proportionally twice as much as in Europe.
This slowing down of the pace of fiscal consolidation has been made possible by three factors: first, by the increased credibility of fiscal policy which the euro area member states have achieved since 2011; second, by the decisive action the ECB has taken to stabilise the markets; and third, by the reform of EU economic governance, which provides an effective framework for a differentiated fiscal adjustment and the advancement of structural reforms.
Thanks to these factors, we have the room to make fiscal policy with a more medium-term view. This was not possible in 2010-2011, when several euro area countries were in danger of becoming insolvent or of falling into to the whirlpool of prohibitively high interest rates. At that time, many member states had to restore their policy credibility by difficult decisions to bring their public finances onto a sustainable path.
Third, we must address the financial sector itself. Much has been achieved, but much remains to be done. The single rule book for banks and other financial market actors has advanced considerably.
Today's Report gives convincing evidence. For example, in Europe we now have Basel III firmly in law, and we advanced the capital requirements already in a coordinated exercise in 2012.
The banking union is essential to reverse the process of financial fragmentation in Europe and, thus, to preserve the integrity of the Single Market in the EU for financial services.
Less than a year since the idea was first put on the table, the European Union has agreed on a single supervisory mechanism. We will not delay in putting in place the second pillar of the banking union, a single resolution mechanism, with a single resolution authority and common resolution fund, financed through levies on the sector itself, to deal with failing banks in an orderly and predictable way.
The Commission is committed to come forward with a proposal to that end before the summer.
The possibility for direct recapitalisation of banks by the European Stability Mechanism is the other important feature of the banking union that we are building. The Eurogroup aims to agree the essential details of a direct recapitalisation instrument for the ESM by June. This is a decision of the finance ministers of the eurozone but the European Commission has been providing technical expertise to facilitate an agreement and we will continue to do so in the coming weeks.
Taken together, these steps represent a decisive contribution to the repair of the banking system in Europe. The banking union cannot be completed overnight, but markets should take note that this is for us an essential priority. We are committed to moving it forward and to completing it as quickly as possible.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Today's conference is devoted to the impact of on-going regulatory reforms on financial integration and stability. In my view, the two reports presented today are an excellent basis for such a discussion, and I want to congratulate the authors and colleagues for their work.
You may perceive them from different standpoints. Financial market participants are likely to be concerned about the impact on financial activity in a narrow sense. However, policy-makers must take into consideration both private and social returns and costs.
It is therefore important to design prospective reforms by focusing on both objectives of ensuring financial stability and in parallel pursuing financial integration. Beyond this, it is equally crucial that the reforms will contribute to a more effective and robust functioning of EMU.
In this spirit, I wish you enlightening and productive discussions today!