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European Commission - Press release

October 2011: Business Climate Indicator down further in the euro area

Brussels, 27 October 2011 - In October 2011, the Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the euro area declined for the eighth month in a row. The steady fall observed since March points to a significant slowdown in industrial production growth.

The drop in the BCI in October was mainly driven by a gloomier assessment of production trends observed in recent months, as well as by increased pessimism about overall order books and export order books. On the other hand, production expectations deteriorated only marginally further compared to the strong decreases registered in the previous two months. Assessments of stocks continued to increase from historic lows.

The BCI is based on a factor analysis of the euro area aggregate balances (seasonally adjusted) of five of the monthly questions in the industry survey (only employment and selling-price expectations are excluded)

Full details of the Business Climate Indicator are available on the Europa website:

The next BCI Results are due to be published on 29 November 2011.

Contacts :

Amadeu Altafaj Tardio (+32 2 295 26 58)

Catherine Bunyan (+32 2 299 65 12)

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