September 2010: Geschäftsklimaindikator für den Euroraum klettert weiter

IP/10/1203

Brüssel, 29. September 2010

September 2010: Geschäftsklimaindikator für den Euroraum klettert weiter

Wichtiger Hinweis: Seit Mai 2010 werden die Daten der Unternehmenserhebungen nach einer aktualisierten Fassung der Systematik der Wirtschaftszweige (NACE Rev. 2) klassifiziert, wodurch zu diesem Zeitpunkt ein Bruch in den Reihen entsteht. Der Indikator des Geschäftsklimas (BCI) für den Euroraum hat im September abermals leicht angezogen. Sein aktueller Stand lässt darauf schließen, dass sich die Industriekonjunktur in den kommenden Monaten weiter beleben dürfte. Der Indikator hat nun seinen höchsten Stand seit Dezember 2007 erreicht. Die Industrieunternehmer schätzten ihre Produktions- und Beschäftigungsaussichten sowie ihre Auftragsbestände optimistischer ein; vor allem die Exportaufträge stimmten zuversichtlich. Ihre Einschätzung der Produktionsentwicklung der letzten Monate und der Lagerbestände blieb weitgehend unverändert.

Economic sentiment indicator (s.a.)

EU: September 103..4

Euro area: September 103.2

Among the largest Member States, Germany with another robust gain (+2.0) contributed the most to the overall development. Improvements were less pronounced in Spain (+1.1) and in the Netherlands (+0.9). The ESI in France remained broadly unchanged, while sentiment deteriorated in Poland (-0.7), Italy (-1.2) and even more so in the UK (-2.1).

Sentiment in industry remained broadly unchanged in the EU and improved by 1 point in the euro area. In both areas, the majority of respondents in this sector reported slight improvements in both their order books assessment and production expectations while managers' assessment of stocks remained broadly unchanged.

As indicated in the flash estimate released earlier this month, the consumer confidence indicator weakened slightly (-1) in the EU and remained broadly unchanged in the euro area. Consumers were a little more pessimistic about the general economic situation and their unemployment expectations, while there was no change in their own savings expectations and in the assessment of their own future financial situation. The Confidence indicator in services remained broadly unchanged in the EU and improved by 1 point in the euro area. Managers' pessimistic assessment of the business situation in the UK over the past three month accounts for the difference in trends between the two areas. Sentiment in the retail sector improved in both the EU (+1) and the euro area (+2). Confidence indicator in construction picked up in the EU (+3) and in the euro area (+2). The indicator nevertheless remains at a very low level, well below its long-term average in the two economic areas.

Confidence in financial services – not included in the ESI –decreased in both the EU (-2) and the euro area (-1).

Industrial confidence indicator (s.a.)

EU: September -2

Euro area: September -2

Service confidence indicator (s.a.)

EU: September 5

Euro area: September 8

Consumer confidence indicator (s.a.)

EU: September -12

Euro area: September -11

Retail trade confidence indicator (s.a.)

EU: September 2

Euro area: September -1

Construction confidence indicator (s.a.)

EU: September -29

Euro area: September -26

Financial services confidence indicator (n.s.a.)

EU: September 17

Euro area: September 22

The next Business and Consumer Survey is due to be published on 28 October 2010.

Full tables are available on:

http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/db_indicators/surveys/index_en.htm